Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FAIRFIELD (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 12 October 2023, Thursday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Steve Johnson

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.45	1.5	Watch
	2.56	1.53
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.18)	1.47 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
36.4%

Steve Johnson
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristan Schoolkate's performance.

Steve Johnson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Steve Johnson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristan Schoolkate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steve Johnson than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steve Johnson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Tristan Schoolkate - Steve Johnson Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Johnson will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schoolkate: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schoolkate is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Johnson is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Schoolkate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Johnson will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Schoolkate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Denis Kudla - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Tristan Schoolkate - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Tristan Schoolkate - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Ozan Baris - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW
- Steve Johnson
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Bernard Tomic - Steve Johnson	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Steve Johnson - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
02.10.23	Stefan Dostanic - Steve Johnson	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Steve Johnson - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Steve Johnson - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.07.23	Tristan Schoolkate - Steve Johnson	0:2

Tristan Schoolkate - Steve Johnson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide