Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2 (Spain), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday


	Steven Diez		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.4	1.47	Watch
	2.6	1.47	Watch
			Watch
	2.53	1.48	Watch
	2.4	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.89)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steven Diez
37.3%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steven Diez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Steven Diez's performance.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Alvarez Varona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Steven Diez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Alvarez Varona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Steven Diez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Diez will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diez: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches New York won 2.

Recent matches New York is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlanta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently New York have a series of home games.

In this match New York is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches New York won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 2137:2112 (average 106.9:105.6).

Including matches at home between the teams New York won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1037:1019 (average 103.7:101.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Steven Diez - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Mathys Erhard - Steven Diez	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Steven Diez - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.12.24	Robert Strombachs - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
12.12.24	Gabriele Vulpitta - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWLW
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Samuel Garcia Hernandez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW

Steven Diez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide