Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2 (Spain), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday


	Daniel Rincon		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.82	1.88
	1.85	2.02
	1.86	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.82	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.75)	1.91 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
51.1%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Daniel Rincon - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 260. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 336.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Alvarez Varona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rincon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
13.02.25	Pedro Cachin - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Daniel Rincon - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
13.02.25	Steven Diez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Diez S. retired ✺
11.02.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2

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