Match Info

Date: 21 June 2022, Tuesday


	Steven Diez		Sebastian Fanselow

	1	2
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.7	2.1
	1.6	2.16
	1.65	2.26
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	2.18 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steven Diez
57.1%

Sebastian Fanselow
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steven Diez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sebastian Fanselow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Fanselow than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Steven Diez - Sebastian Fanselow Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Fanselow will win (155 of 169 users predict this - 91.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.57% – 95.87%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diez has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fanselow is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Diez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
05.06.22	Steven Diez - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
29.05.22	Steven Diez - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
24.05.22	Steven Diez - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
ATP Lyon
14.05.22	Steven Diez - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.22	Rinky Hijikata - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sebastian Fanselow
ATP Challenger
12.06.22	Ernests Gulbis - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
07.06.22	Sebastian Fanselow - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
30.05.22	Sebastian Fanselow - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
18.05.22	Sergey Fomin - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
17.05.22	Sebastian Fanselow - Denis Istomin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW

Steven Diez - Sebastian Fanselow: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide