Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday


	Sumit Nagal		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	1.98	1.85
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.03	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.13)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
45.6%

Marco Cecchinato
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Sumit Nagal - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Cecchinato will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cecchinato: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marco Cecchinato will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 296. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 300.

Recent performances by Nagal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cecchinato is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nagal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Cecchinato will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
07.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Sumit Nagal - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Christian Garin - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLL
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Marco Cecchinato - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Jerome Kym - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Marco Cecchinato - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Dino Prizmic - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWW

Sumit Nagal - Marco Cecchinato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide