Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Marco Cecchinato		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	2.23	1.67
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	1.86	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.83)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Cecchinato
45.3%

Thiago Monteiro
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Cecchinato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 275. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 170.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cecchinato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cecchinato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Cecchinato - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro	2:1
ATP Santiago
01.03.23	Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro	1:2
ATP Challenger
02.02.20	Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro	1:2

Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide