Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn (Germany), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Russo E. (Ita)


	Sumit Nagal		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.7
	1.48	2.7
	1.42	2.78	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	2.58 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
63.5%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Sumit Nagal - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Basilashvili is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nagal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nagal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Karen Khachanov - Sumit Nagal	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
19.05.24	Sebastian Baez - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Sumit Nagal - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLLW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
03.06.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	August Holmgren - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Canceled ✺
02.06.24	Christian Harrison - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
20.05.24	Ray Ho - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?WLW

Sumit Nagal - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide