Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Franke A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Matteo Arnaldi		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.38	3.1	Watch
	1.4	3.12
	1.4	3.12
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.41	2.94	Watch
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	3.01 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
68.3%

Sumit Nagal
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Matteo Arnaldi - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Nagal will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Nagal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Emil Ruusuvuori	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
26.03.24	Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Arthur Fils - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 ?LWWW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Sumit Nagal - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.24	Sumit Nagal - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
02.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL

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