Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monastir - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Tadeas Paroulek		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
			Watch
	2.64	1.45	Watch
	2.6	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (1.93)	1.47 ↓ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tadeas Paroulek
36.4%

Mert Alkaya
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tadeas Paroulek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tadeas Paroulek's form might have worsened.

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mert Alkaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tadeas Paroulek than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tadeas Paroulek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mert Alkaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tadeas Paroulek - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alkaya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mert Alkaya will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Paroulek is ranked ATP: 430. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 543.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Paroulek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tadeas Paroulek
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Ibrahim Snoussi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Toufik Sahtali - Tadeas Paroulek	Canceled ✺
15.10.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Stepan Baum	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Maik Steiner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 W?LWW
- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Mert Alkaya - Laurent Lokoli	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Mert Alkaya - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Mert Alkaya - Andrea Bacaloni	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Mert Alkaya - James Connel	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches