Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 40, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Mert Alkaya		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
	2.1	1.7
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.02	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.5)	1.71 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
45.7%

Michele Ribecai
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mert Alkaya's performance.

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michele Ribecai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mert Alkaya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michele Ribecai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mert Alkaya - Michele Ribecai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 543. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 459.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Alkaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Ribecai will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Mert Alkaya - Andrea Bacaloni	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Mert Alkaya - James Connel	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mert Alkaya - Sean Cuenin	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	James Connel - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Michele Ribecai
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Amir Omarkhanov - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Samir Hamza Reguig - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Michele Ribecai - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Michael Vrbensky - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW

Mert Alkaya - Michele Ribecai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide