Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Takuya Kumasaka		Christoph Negritu

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.05	1.72
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.91)	1.66 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Takuya Kumasaka
44%

Christoph Negritu
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Takuya Kumasaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Takuya Kumasaka's performance.

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christoph Negritu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Takuya Kumasaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christoph Negritu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Takuya Kumasaka - Christoph Negritu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kumasaka will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Negritu will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kumasaka: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 476. Negritu is ranked ATP: 406.

Recent matches Kumasaka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Negritu is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Negritu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Negritu will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Kris van Wyk	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Kokoro Isomura - Takuya Kumasaka	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
28.10.24	Omar Jasika - Takuya Kumasaka	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Zura Tkemaladze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLW
- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Yan Bai - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	James McCabe - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Christoph Negritu - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
07.10.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLW

Takuya Kumasaka - Christoph Negritu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide