Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Takuya Kumasaka		Tianhui Zhang

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.7	2.18
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.67	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.51)	2.12 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Takuya Kumasaka
56%

Tianhui Zhang
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Takuya Kumasaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Tianhui Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Takuya Kumasaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianhui Zhang than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tianhui Zhang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Takuya Kumasaka - Tianhui Zhang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 533. Zhang is ranked ATP: 773.

Kumasaka is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zhang has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kumasaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kumasaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kumasaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Takuya Kumasaka - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 60.57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Pawit Sornlaksup - Takuya Kumasaka	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Ji Sung Nam	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Fajing Sun - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Takuya Kumasaka	Mitsui S. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLL?L
- Tianhui Zhang
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Arthur Weber - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Kuan-Shou Chen - Tianhui Zhang	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Charles Broom - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Tianhui Zhang - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Tianhui Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Tianhui Zhang - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0

Takuya Kumasaka - Tianhui Zhang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide