Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday


	Talia Gibson		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.98	1.79	Watch
	2.04	1.88
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	1.98	1.88
	1.92	1.9	Watch
	2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.4)	1.84 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talia Gibson
48.2%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talia Gibson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talia Gibson's performance.

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekaterina Alexandrova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talia Gibson than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talia Gibson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ekaterina Alexandrova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Talia Gibson - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Gibson will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gibson: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gibson (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gibson is ranked WTA: 74. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 19.

In recent matches, Gibson has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alexandrova is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gibson won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Talia Gibson
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Maja Chwalinska - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Talia Gibson - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	Cocciaretto E. Retired ✺
WTA Memphis
27.07.26	Talia Gibson - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.26	Talia Gibson - Marie Bouzkova	1:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
23.06.26	Talia Gibson - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?LLL
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Memphis
28.07.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Kristina Liutova	Alexandrova E. Retired ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Iva Jovic	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lanlana Tararudee	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Panna Udvardy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
06.03.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Talia Gibson	0:2

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