Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUCKLAND (NEW ZEALAND), HARD - FINAL

Date: 12 January 2024, Friday


	Taro Daniel		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.83	2	Watch
	1.78	2.05	Watch
	1.8	2.12
	1.81	2.12
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.79	2.03	Watch
	1.8	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.56)	2.06 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
53.5%

Alejandro Tabilo
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taro Daniel's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Tabilo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taro Daniel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Taro Daniel - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Daniel will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Tabilo will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Daniel: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player during the last matches got a chain of wins.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Daniel to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Auckland
11.01.24	Ben Shelton - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Alexandre Muller - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
09.01.24	Taro Daniel - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
05.01.24	Taro Daniel - Patrick Kypson	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWW?
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Auckland
11.01.24	Arthur Fils - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Cameron Norrie	Norrie C. walkover ✺
09.01.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Borna Gojo - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Patrick Kypson - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 W?WWW

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