Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Carvalho A. (Bra)


	Aleksandar Vukic		Taro Daniel

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.95	1.85
	1.99	1.9
	1.99	1.9
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.84	Watch
	1.98	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.52)	1.85 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Vukic
48.3%

Taro Daniel
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Vukic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aleksandar Vukic's performance.

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taro Daniel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aleksandar Vukic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taro Daniel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Aleksandar Vukic - Taro Daniel Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Daniel will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vukic: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Vukic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Daniel is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Daniel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vukic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Munich
16.04.24	Jurij Rodionov - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Christopher OConnell - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Lucas Catarina - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.24	Mariano Navone - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLW
- Taro Daniel
ATP Munich
18.04.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Taro Daniel - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Taro Daniel - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Jack Draper - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Taro Daniel - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
07.01.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Taro Daniel	0:2
ATP Chengdu
20.09.23	Taro Daniel - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1

Aleksandar Vukic - Taro Daniel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide