Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Taro Daniel		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.49	Watch
	2.63	1.52
	2.5	1.56	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.61	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.09)	1.51 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
36.8%

Daniel Evans
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taro Daniel's form might have worsened.

Daniel Evans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Evans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taro Daniel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Evans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Taro Daniel - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniel Evans will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Daniel is ranked ATP: 89. Evans is ranked ATP: 180.

Recent matches Daniel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Evans is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Evans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Evans will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Evans to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Daniel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Jannik Sinner - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Egor Gerasimov - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
23.09.24	Taro Daniel - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL
- Daniel Evans
ATP Almaty
14.10.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Amir Omarkhanov - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Alex Bolt - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Daniel Evans - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP San Diego
22.09.22	Daniel Evans - Taro Daniel	2:0
ATP Challenger
13.03.19	Daniel Evans - Taro Daniel	0:2
Davis Cup World Group
06.03.16	Daniel Evans - Taro Daniel	Canceled
ATP Challenger
19.08.15	Taro Daniel - Daniel Evans	1:2
ATP Doha
30.12.13	Daniel Evans - Taro Daniel	2:0

Taro Daniel - Daniel Evans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide