Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Taro Daniel		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.5
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.67	1.49
	2.68	1.5	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.63)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
35.8%

Christopher OConnell
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Taro Daniel - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Daniel is ranked ATP: 91. OConnell is ranked ATP: 79.

Recent matches Daniel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

OConnell is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

OConnell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

OConnell will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's OConnell to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Daniel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Tokyo
22.09.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Taro Daniel - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Taro Daniel	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.24	Taro Daniel - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLL
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Tokyo
23.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Pavel Kotov - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
16.04.24	Taro Daniel - Christopher OConnell	2:0
ATP Chengdu
22.09.23	Christopher OConnell - Taro Daniel	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.23	Christopher OConnell - Taro Daniel	0:3

Taro Daniel - Christopher OConnell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide