Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday


	Taro Daniel		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	2.1	1.73
	2.15	1.67
	2.13	1.72
	2.19	1.74
	2.12	1.72
	2.2	1.67
	2.21	1.69	Watch
	2.11	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.55)	1.71 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
44.2%

Francesco Passaro
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taro Daniel's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taro Daniel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Taro Daniel - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Daniel has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Passaro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Kyrian Jacquet - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Taro Daniel - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.24	Taro Daniel - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
16.06.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Taro Daniel	Daniel T. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLL?
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Mark Lajal - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.24	Daniel Altmaier - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	Franco Agamenone - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Nick Hardt - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW

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