Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Taro Daniel		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.4	1.31	Watch
	3.47	1.34
	3.59	1.31	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.32	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.65)	1.31 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
27.6%

Lorenzo Sonego
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taro Daniel's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Sonego's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taro Daniel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Taro Daniel - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Sonego will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Daniel is ranked ATP: 90. Sonego is ranked ATP: 50.

Daniel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sonego is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Sonego is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sonego to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Daniel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Taro Daniel	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.24	Taro Daniel - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Rinky Hijikata - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Arthur Cazaux - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	David Goffin - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
22.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang	Sonego L. walkover ✺
22.08.24	Pavel Kotov - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
23.07.21	Taro Daniel - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2
ATP Challenger
19.08.16	Lorenzo Sonego - Taro Daniel	Daniel T. walkover

Taro Daniel - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide