Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.21	1.69	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.85)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
41.8%

Juncheng Shang
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juncheng Shang's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Shang will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 4 - 50%). Shang (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 39. Shang is ranked ATP: 406.

Shang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shang could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sonego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
07.11.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Flavio Cobolli - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Jan Choinski - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Juncheng Shang - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
28.12.25	Juncheng Shang - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Juncheng Shang - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang	Sonego L. walkover

Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide