Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BREST (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Liam Broady		Luca Nardi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	1.95	1.87
	1.95	1.88
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.05	1.71	Watch
	1.83	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.14)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Broady
48.8%

Luca Nardi
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Broady has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Broady's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Broady that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Liam Broady - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: Liam Broady will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Broady could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Broady won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Stockholm
15.10.23	Liam Broady - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Liam Broady - Sebastian Eriksson	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Otto Virtanen - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Liam Broady - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Radu Albot - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Antwerp
17.10.23	Luca Nardi - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.23	Joris De Loore - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
13.10.23	Damir Dzumhur - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Andrew Paulson - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
09.10.23	Luca Nardi - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.01.23	Liam Broady - Luca Nardi	2:1
10.03.21	Luca Nardi - Liam Broady	0:2

Liam Broady - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide