Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Tatiana Pieri		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.67
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	3.02	1.35	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.09)	1.6 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatiana Pieri
41.1%

Francesca Curmi
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatiana Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatiana Pieri than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Tatiana Pieri - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pieri is ranked WTA: 352. Curmi is ranked WTA: 328.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Curmi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatiana Pieri
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Aurora Zantedeschi - Tatiana Pieri	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Beatrice Ricci - Tatiana Pieri	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nahia Berecoechea - Tatiana Pieri	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Tatiana Pieri	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Tatiana Pieri - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW
- Francesca Curmi
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Francesca Curmi - Verena Meliss	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Francesca Curmi - Angelica Raggi	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Carson Branstine - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Enola Chiesa - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.08.25	Francesca Curmi - Mina Hodzic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

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