Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Manila, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Tatiana Prozorova		Donna Vekic

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.35	1.35
	3.06	1.36	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.04	1.38	Watch
	3.15	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.28)	1.36 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatiana Prozorova
30.6%

Donna Vekic
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatiana Prozorova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tatiana Prozorova's form might have worsened.

Donna Vekic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Donna Vekic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatiana Prozorova than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tatiana Prozorova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Donna Vekic than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Donna Vekic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Tatiana Prozorova - Donna Vekic Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Prozorova will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Vekic will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vekic: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Donna Vekic will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Prozorova is ranked WTA: 174. Vekic is ranked WTA: 72.

Prozorova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vekic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vekic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vekic could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatiana Prozorova
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Tatiana Prozorova - Sofia Costoulas	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Tatjana Maria - Tatiana Prozorova	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Kaye Ann Emana - Tatiana Prozorova	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
13.01.26	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Tatiana Prozorova	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Tatiana Prozorova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW
- Donna Vekic
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Donna Vekic - Lin Zhu	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Donna Vekic - Mariia Tkacheva	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Donna Vekic - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Donna Vekic - Mirra Andreeva	1:2 ✺
WTA Auckland
06.01.26	Donna Vekic - Alexandra Eala	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLL

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