Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Guadalajara (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday


	Tatjana Maria		Alexandra Eala

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.62	2.17	Watch
	1.68	2.24
	1.64	2.26	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.7	2.09	Watch
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.86)	2.19 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
57.2%

Alexandra Eala
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tatjana Maria's performance.

Alexandra Eala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandra Eala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tatjana Maria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandra Eala than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandra Eala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Tatjana Maria - Alexandra Eala Predictions

Users Predictions: Tatjana Maria will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maria is ranked WTA: 99. Eala is ranked WTA: 153.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Eala could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Maria won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandra Eala - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.96%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Tatjana Maria - Kayla Day	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
28.08.24	Tatjana Maria - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Tatjana Maria - Solana Sierra	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
20.08.24	Xiyu Wang - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.24	Tatjana Maria - Nadia Podoroska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLL
- Alexandra Eala
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Victoria Hu - Alexandra Eala	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
22.08.24	Alexandra Eala - Elena Gabriela Ruse	1:2 ✺
21.08.24	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	Maddison Inglis - Alexandra Eala	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.24	Alexandra Eala - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Guangzhou
19.09.23	Tatjana Maria - Alexandra Eala	2:0
WTA Madrid
26.04.23	Alexandra Eala - Tatjana Maria	0:2
WTA Hua Hin
31.01.23	Alexandra Eala - Tatjana Maria	0:2

Tatjana Maria - Alexandra Eala: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide