Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Tatjana Maria		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.23	1.65
	2.31	1.68
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	2.25	1.66
	1.82	2.03	Watch
	2.25	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
44.4%

Jelena Ostapenko
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maria: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maria is ranked WTA: 80. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 30.

In recent matches, Maria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ostapenko could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Jelena Ostapenko - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Tatjana Maria - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
03.08.26	Tatjana Maria - Caty McNally	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Tatjana Maria - Isabella Marton	2:0 ✺
WTA Memphis
29.07.26	Tatjana Maria - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Shuai Zhang - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. Retired ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Antonia Ruzic	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Harriet Dart	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Eastbourne
26.06.26	Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. Retired
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.22	Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1

Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide