Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Jelena Ostapenko		Magdalena Frech

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.87	1.94
	1.79	2.17
	1.79	2.02	Watch
	1.99	1.83
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.80	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.66)	1.99 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
52%

Magdalena Frech
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Magdalena Frech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magdalena Frech, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jelena Ostapenko - Magdalena Frech Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 30. Frech is ranked WTA: 41.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ostapenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ostapenko won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jelena Ostapenko - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.96%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Magdalena Frech - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.04%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Shuai Zhang - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. Retired ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Antonia Ruzic	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Harriet Dart	2:1 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.26	Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?LWW?
- Magdalena Frech
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.26	Antonia Ruzic - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
05.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Magdalena Frech - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
WTA Washington
30.07.26	Jessica Pegula - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Magdalena Frech - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
06.01.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Magdalena Frech	2:1
WTA Birmingham
23.06.23	Magdalena Frech - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2

Jelena Ostapenko - Magdalena Frech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide