Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - Final

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Tatjana Maria		Madison Keys

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.75	1.28
	3.6	1.28
	3.85	1.33
	3.53	1.32	Watch
	3.8	1.29
	3.5	1.32	Watch
	3.45	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.24)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
26.2%

Madison Keys
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tatjana Maria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madison Keys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Tatjana Maria - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 16 - 80%). Keys will win (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maria: 62.5% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maria (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maria is ranked WTA: 112. Keys is ranked WTA: 27.

Maria is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Keys has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Keys is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Madison Keys - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 70.74%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.26	Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Tatjana Maria - Tereza Valentova	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Tatjana Maria - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Jasmine Paolini - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Nottingham
19.06.26	Marie Bouzkova - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?WWWL
- Madison Keys
WTA Eastbourne
26.06.26	Petra Marcinko - Madison Keys	Marcinko P. Retired ✺
25.06.26	McCartney Kessler - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Talia Gibson - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Berlin
19.06.26	Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA London
14.06.25	Tatjana Maria - Madison Keys	2:0
WTA Charleston
03.04.19	Tatjana Maria - Madison Keys	1:2
WTA US Open
31.08.17	Tatjana Maria - Madison Keys	0:2
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.15	Madison Keys - Tatjana Maria	2:0

Tatjana Maria - Madison Keys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide