Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eastbourne 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Jasmine Paolini		Tatjana Maria

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.80	1.98
	1.75	2.08
	1.82	2.09
	1.84	1.9	Watch
	1.80	2.00
	1.83	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.13)	2 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
52.6%

Tatjana Maria
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jasmine Paolini's performance.

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tatjana Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jasmine Paolini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tatjana Maria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Jasmine Paolini - Tatjana Maria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tatjana Maria will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 14. Maria is ranked WTA: 117.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Maria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tatjana Maria - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 55.32%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Solana Sierra	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
09.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Jasmine Paolini - Leolia Jeanjean	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Tatjana Maria
WTA Nottingham
19.06.26	Marie Bouzkova - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Dayana Yastremska - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Tatjana Maria - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	Canceled
WTA London
12.06.26	Elena Rybakina - Tatjana Maria	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Maria Sakkari - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
08.03.24	Tatjana Maria - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Australian Open
17.01.24	Tatjana Maria - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.23	Tatjana Maria - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
ITF Tournaments
22.06.17	Tatjana Maria - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
11.06.17	Tatjana Maria - Jasmine Paolini	1:2

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