Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 9 May 2023, Tuesday


	Thanasi Kokkinakis		Jan Choinski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.23	4.2
	1.25	3.8
	1.27	3.88
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.23	3.84	Watch
	1.22	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.36)	3.92 ↑ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thanasi Kokkinakis
76%

Jan Choinski
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thanasi Kokkinakis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thanasi Kokkinakis's performance.

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thanasi Kokkinakis than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thanasi Kokkinakis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kokkinakis will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Choinski will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kokkinakis: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Choinski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kokkinakis is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Laslo Djere	1:2 ✺
04.05.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Thanasi Kokkinakis	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL
- Jan Choinski
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Filip Krajinovic - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Jan Choinski - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Jan Choinski - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Borna Gojo - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWL

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide