Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Jan Choinski		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.34	1.53
	2.63	1.52
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.54	Watch
	2.34	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.84)	1.53 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
39%

Jurij Rodionov
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jurij Rodionov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jurij Rodionov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Rodionov will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodionov: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 184. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 209.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rodionov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Choinski won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.54%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Jurij Rodionov - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Jan Choinski - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Jan Choinski - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Patrick Zahraj - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Jan Choinski - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWL
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Jurij Rodionov - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Jurij Rodionov - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Jurij Rodionov - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Karan Singh - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Jurij Rodionov - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
08.05.23	Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov	2:1
ATP Challenger
23.02.23	Jurij Rodionov - Jan Choinski	2:1

Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide