Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Brandon Holt

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.08	1.74
	2.1	1.67
	2.18	1.71
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.09	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.75)	1.7 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
44.9%

Brandon Holt
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Augustin Tirante's performance.

Brandon Holt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Holt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Augustin Tirante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Holt than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Holt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Brandon Holt Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Holt will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Holt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
10.08.23	Francisco Comesana - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
09.08.23	Gustavo Heide - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
02.08.23	Alex De Minaur - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL
- Brandon Holt
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Brandon Holt - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
30.07.23	Brandon Holt - Zachary Svajda	Holt B. retired ✺
29.07.23	Brandon Holt - Andrew Fenty	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Brandon Holt - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WL?WL

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