Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Elmer Moeller

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.72	2.01
	1.75	2.16
	1.74	2.09
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.72	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)	2.04 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
54.1%

Elmer Moeller
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Elmer Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moeller than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elmer Moeller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Elmer Moeller Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Moeller will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 97. Moeller is ranked ATP: 250.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
27.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
17.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Frazier Rengifo	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL
- Elmer Moeller
ATP Challenger
27.09.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Elmer Moeller	Roca Batalla O. retired ✺
24.09.24	Elmer Moeller - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Elmer Moeller - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Elmer Moeller - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Elmer Moeller	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ?WLW?

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