Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.63	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.44	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.2)	1.6 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
40.8%

Flavio Cobolli
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flavio Cobolli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Cobolli will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 117. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 43.

Tirante in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cobolli is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tirante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cobolli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tirante to win the game is with odds 2.37.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tirante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Cerundolo J. M. retired ✺
07.03.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWW?W
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Kei Nishikori - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Colton Smith - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.25	Flavio Cobolli - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
03.02.25	Flavio Cobolli - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.07.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli	1:2
28.08.21	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli	1:2

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