Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam (Netherlands), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday


	Flavio Cobolli		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.45	1.27	Watch
	3.66	1.32
	3.29	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.53	1.31	Watch
	3.5	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.19)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
27.2%

Hubert Hurkacz
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Flavio Cobolli - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 34. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 21.

Cobolli is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hurkacz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cobolli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hurkacz is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cobolli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Montpellier
30.01.25	Jesper De Jong - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Flavio Cobolli	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. retired ✺
ATP United Cup
03.01.25	Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
30.12.24	Flavio Cobolli - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LL?LW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:3 ✺
13.01.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Tallon Griekspoor	3:0 ✺
ATP United Cup
05.01.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
03.01.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
02.01.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Flavio Cobolli	2:1
ATP Halle
17.06.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Flavio Cobolli	2:0

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