Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OLBIA (ITALY), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Joris De Loore

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.69	2.13
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.14	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.83)	2.13 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
56.3%

Joris De Loore
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Augustin Tirante's performance.

Joris De Loore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joris De Loore might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Augustin Tirante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joris De Loore than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joris De Loore could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Joris De Loore Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). De Loore will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Loore: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tirante is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

De Loore is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tirante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Maxime Janvier - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Ilya Ivashka - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gustavo Heide	Tirante T. A. walkover ✺
30.09.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWL?W
- Joris De Loore
ATP Challenger
15.10.23	Gabriel Diallo - Joris De Loore	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Joris De Loore - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
13.10.23	Joris De Loore - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
12.10.23	Joris De Loore - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Alex Molcan - Joris De Loore	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW

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