Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 26 April 2023, Wednesday


	Thiago Monteiro		Borna Gojo

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.87
	1.91	1.89
	1.92	1.91
	1.99	1.9
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.92	1.88	Watch
	1.88	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.7)	1.9 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
49.7%

Borna Gojo
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Monteiro's form might have worsened.

Borna Gojo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borna Gojo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Gojo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borna Gojo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.3%	0%	75.7%

Thiago Monteiro - Borna Gojo Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 9 - 24.3%). Gojo will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gojo: 61.9% – 89.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gojo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gojo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Munich
17.04.23	Thiago Monteiro - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Thiago Monteiro - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.23	Thiago Monteiro - Guido Pella	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
03.03.23	Jaume Munar - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLL
- Borna Gojo
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Borna Gojo - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Borna Gojo - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Borna Gojo - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Borna Gojo - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Borna Gojo - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLW

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