Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kia Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Max
France	Max


	Thiago Monteiro		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.95
	1.82	1.89	Watch
	1.8	2.06	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	2	Watch
	1.82	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
51.4%

Valentin Royer
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Thiago Monteiro aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Valentin Royer aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Thiago Monteiro - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 106. Royer is ranked ATP: 203.

Two players are playing changeable.

Monteiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Monteiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.45%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Thiago Monteiro - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
ATP United Cup
29.12.24	Alexander Zverev - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
27.12.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.11.24	Hady Habib - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW
- Valentin Royer
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Valentin Royer - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
29.12.24	Pavel Kotov - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.11.24	Valentin Royer - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
13.11.24	Valentin Royer - Adrian Andreev	2:1 ✺
11.11.24	Damir Dzumhur - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
22.05.24	Thiago Monteiro - Valentin Royer	2:1

Thiago Monteiro - Valentin Royer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide