Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VINA DEL MAR (CHILE), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Thiago Seyboth Wild		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.04	1.76
	2.09	1.77
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.72	Watch
	2.04	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.92)	1.74 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild
46.1%

Hugo Gaston
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Seyboth Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.5%	0%	34.5%

Thiago Seyboth Wild - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Gaston will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seyboth Wild: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Gaston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Gaston to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
16.03.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
14.03.23	Lautaro Midon - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
15.03.23	Federico Gaio - Hugo Gaston	Gaio F. retired ✺
13.03.23	Gonzalo Lama - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
08.03.23	Hugo Gaston - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WW?WL

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