Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VINA DEL MAR (CHILE), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday


	Riccardo Bonadio		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.55	1.5
	2.48	1.56
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.47	Watch
	2.55	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.44)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riccardo Bonadio
37.5%

Hugo Gaston
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riccardo Bonadio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Riccardo Bonadio - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bonadio will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Gaston will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonadio: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Bonadio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaston is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bonadio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaston will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gaston to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Challenger
15.03.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
13.03.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Miguel Fernando Pereira	2:0 ✺
09.03.23	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
07.03.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
02.03.23	Laslo Djere - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
15.03.23	Federico Gaio - Hugo Gaston	Gaio F. retired ✺
13.03.23	Gonzalo Lama - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
08.03.23	Hugo Gaston - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Federico Delbonis - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
06.03.23	Hugo Gaston - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 ?WLWW

Riccardo Bonadio - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide