Match Info

Date: 18 February 2021, Thursday


	Thomas Fabbiano		Yannick Maden

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.52	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.45
	2.63	1.5
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.72)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thomas Fabbiano
36.6%

Yannick Maden
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thomas Fabbiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Yannick Maden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Fabbiano than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thomas Fabbiano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Maden than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yannick Maden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Thomas Fabbiano - Yannick Maden Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Fabbiano will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Maden will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fabbiano: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fabbiano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Maden is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fabbiano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Maden will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fabbiano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thomas Fabbiano
ATP Challenger
16.02.21	Alessandro Giannessi - Thomas Fabbiano	0:2 ✺
08.02.21	Thomas Fabbiano - Luca Vanni	0:2 ✺
04.02.21	Thomas Fabbiano - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Thomas Fabbiano	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
26.01.21	Thomas Fabbiano - Yannick Maden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLL?L
- Yannick Maden
ATP Challenger
17.02.21	Yannick Maden - Antoine Hoang	2:0 ✺
09.02.21	Sebastian Ofner - Yannick Maden	2:0 ✺
01.02.21	Yannick Maden - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
28.01.21	Benjamin Bonzi - Yannick Maden	2:1 ✺
26.01.21	Thomas Fabbiano - Yannick Maden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.01.21	Thomas Fabbiano - Yannick Maden	1:2
ATP Munich
27.04.19	Yannick Maden - Thomas Fabbiano	2:1

Thomas Fabbiano - Yannick Maden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide