Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday


	Thomas Faurel		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.87	1.99
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.72	2.01
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.2)	2.02 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thomas Faurel
53.8%

Calvin Hemery
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thomas Faurel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thomas Faurel's performance.

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvin Hemery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thomas Faurel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvin Hemery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Thomas Faurel - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Faurel is ranked ATP: 351. Hemery is ranked ATP: 328.

Recent performances by Faurel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hemery has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hemery may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Faurel could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thomas Faurel
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Thomas Faurel - Giorgio Tabacco	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Marvin Moeller - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Nicolas Kicker - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Facundo Mena - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Eric Vanshelboim - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Calvin Hemery - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Mika Brunold - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Petr Nesterov - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
ATP Gstaad
12.07.26	Federico Cina - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLL?L

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