Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Bol, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Tiago Pereira		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.26
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.64	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	2.19 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
57.3%

Andrey Chepelev
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiago Pereira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tiago Pereira - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 270. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 419.

Pereira is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chepelev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chepelev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.47%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Jiri Cizek	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Mateja Stanisavljevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Gastao Elias	Elias G. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.05.26	Tiago Pereira - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWL?W
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Ryo Tabata - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Karlo Kajin - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Andrey Chepelev - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Andrey Chepelev - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Andrey Chepelev - Sebastiano Cocola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLW

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