Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2 (Portugal), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday


	Tiago Pereira		Ergi Kirkin

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.88	1.82
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.84	Watch
	1.88	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.78)	1.86 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
50.1%

Ergi Kirkin
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tiago Pereira - Ergi Kirkin Predictions

Users Predictions: Tiago Pereira will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 514. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 285.

Two players are playing changeable.

Pereira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
13.01.25	Tiago Pereira - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Richard Berankis - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Tiago Pereira - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.12.24	Robert Strombachs - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLWL
- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
13.01.25	Michael Geerts - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Ergi Kirkin - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Ergi Kirkin - Antoine Cornut-Chauvinc	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.12.24	Ergi Kirkin - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWL

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