Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2 (Portugal) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Tiago Pereira

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.31	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.64)	2.32 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
59.9%

Tiago Pereira
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lorenzo Giustino - Tiago Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pereira will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 265. Pereira is ranked ATP: 516.

Two players are playing changeable.

Giustino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
06.01.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.12.24	Pablo Masjuan Ginel - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
04.12.24	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Gauthier Onclin - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
06.01.25	Richard Berankis - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Tiago Pereira - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.12.24	Robert Strombachs - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
13.12.24	Tiago Pereira - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
12.12.24	Tiago Pereira - Andres Fernandez Canovas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWW

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