Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras (Portugal), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Duarte Vale

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.35)	2.72 ↓ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
65.8%

Duarte Vale
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Duarte Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duarte Vale than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Duarte Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Vale will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 314. Vale is ranked ATP: 515.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Merida Aguilar is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Merida Aguilar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
29.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
27.11.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
25.11.24	Jelle Sels - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Eric Vanshelboim	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL
- Duarte Vale
ITF Tournaments
23.11.24	Pierre Yves Bailly - Duarte Vale	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Max Basing - Duarte Vale	1:2 ✺
21.11.24	Nathan Anthony Barki - Duarte Vale	0:2 ✺
20.11.24	Tiago Torres - Duarte Vale	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.11.24	Alfredo Perez - Duarte Vale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.11.23	Duarte Vale - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2

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