Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Timo Legout		Igor Marcondes

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.60
	1.47	2.60	Watch
	1.45	2.57	Watch
	1.49	2.65
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.50	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)	2.57 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timo Legout
63.7%

Igor Marcondes
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timo Legout has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Igor Marcondes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timo Legout than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Timo Legout - Igor Marcondes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legout (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Timo Legout will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Legout is ranked ATP: 410., and Marcondes is ranked ATP: 324..

Legout is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Marcondes has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Marcondes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Legout is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Legout in today's match, at odds of 1.56.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timo Legout
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Tristan Boyer - Timo Legout	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Timo Legout - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Timo Legout - Daniel Milavsky	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Timo Legout - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Timo Legout - Darian King	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW
- Igor Marcondes
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Igor Marcondes - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Patrick Maloney - Igor Marcondes	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Ozan Baris - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Igor Marcondes - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Igor Marcondes - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLL

Timo Legout - Igor Marcondes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide