Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Timofey Skatov		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.36
	1.58	2.28	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.59	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)	2.28 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
59.1%

Gonzalo Bueno
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 308. Bueno is ranked ATP: 220.

Skatov is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bueno has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bueno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Skatov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Bueno - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.09%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
10.08.25	Jurij Rodionov - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Yanaki Milev	Milev Y. retired ✺
06.08.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LW?WW
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
04.08.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Maxim Mrva	Canceled ✺
03.08.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Gonzalo Bueno	Olivieri G. A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWW??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.10.22	Gonzalo Bueno - Timofey Skatov	0:2

Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide