Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Carlos Taberner		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.68	2.24
	1.66	2.07	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.53	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.44)	2.27 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carlos Taberner
58.9%

Gonzalo Bueno
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Taberner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Taberner's form might have worsened.

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gonzalo Bueno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Taberner than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	0%	23.8%

Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Taberner will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Bueno will win (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Taberner: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlos Taberner will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Taberner is ranked ATP: 103. Bueno is ranked ATP: 218.

Recent form of Taberner has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bueno is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bueno may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Taberner is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bueno will win today's game, with odds of 2.26.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Taberner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Taberner
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Carlos Taberner - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Nicolas Kicker - Carlos Taberner	Canceled ✺
12.10.25	Carlos Taberner - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLW?L
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Vilius Gaubas - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Bueno G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0

Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide