Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Timofey Skatov		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.41	2.70	Watch
			Watch
	1.34	3.12	Watch
	1.52	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.53)	2.83 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
66.9%

Gonzalo Villanueva
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofey Skatov's performance.

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Villanueva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Villanueva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 241. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 354.

Skatov is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villanueva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villanueva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Skatov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Villanueva - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.61%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Almaty
14.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Nicolas Jarry - Timofey Skatov	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Timofey Skatov - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Liam Draxl - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
16.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Timofey Skatov	Skatov T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 L?LL?
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Miguel Tobon - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide