Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday


	Timofey Skatov		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.40	1.50	Watch
	2.75	1.42
	2.64	1.57
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.53	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.58)	1.49 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
37%

Henrique Rocha
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Timofey Skatov - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: Henrique Rocha will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 189. Rocha is ranked ATP: 119.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rocha could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Rocha will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Marco Cecchinato - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Timofey Skatov - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Radu Albot - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Laslo Djere - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWLW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Henrique Rocha - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Henrique Rocha - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW

Timofey Skatov - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide